{"id":1743,"date":"2026-09-16T10:37:21","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T10:37:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/?p=1743"},"modified":"2026-09-16T10:37:23","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T10:37:23","slug":"turkiyenin-karbon-emisyonunda-bir-yilda-olusan-yuzde-42lik-artisin-2035-net-sifir-hedefine-yonelik-katki-beyanina-etkisini-ve-cop31-ile-iliskisini-cevre-sehircilik-ve-iklim-degisikligi-bakanina-s","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/2026\/09\/16\/turkiyenin-karbon-emisyonunda-bir-yilda-olusan-yuzde-42lik-artisin-2035-net-sifir-hedefine-yonelik-katki-beyanina-etkisini-ve-cop31-ile-iliskisini-cevre-sehircilik-ve-iklim-degisikligi-bakanina-s\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00dcRK\u0130YE’N\u0130N KARBON EM\u0130SYONUNDA B\u0130R YILDA OLU\u015eAN Y\u00dcZDE 4,2’L\u0130K ARTI\u015eIN 2035 NET SIFIR HEDEF\u0130NE Y\u00d6NEL\u0130K KATKI BEYANINA ETK\u0130S\u0130N\u0130 VE COP31 \u0130LE \u0130L\u0130\u015eK\u0130S\u0130N\u0130 \u00c7EVRE \u015eEH\u0130RC\u0130L\u0130K VE \u0130KL\u0130M DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130KL\u0130\u011e\u0130 BAKANINA SORDUK"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

T\u00dcRK\u0130YE B\u00dcY\u00dcK M\u0130LLET MECL\u0130S\u0130 BA\u015eKANLI\u011eINA<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki sorular\u0131n \u00c7evre, \u015eehircilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Bakan\u0131 Murat KURUMtaraf\u0131ndan Anayasa\u2019n\u0131n 98\u2019inci ve \u0130\u00e7t\u00fcz\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn 96\u2019nc\u0131 ve 99\u2019uncu maddeleri gere\u011fince yaz\u0131l\u0131 olarak cevapland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 arz ederim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130brahim AKIN<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130zmir Milletvekili<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye, Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltma taahh\u00fcd\u00fcnde bulunmu\u015f; 24 Eyl\u00fcl 2025 tarihinde a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u0130kinci Ulusal Katk\u0131 Beyan\u0131’nda (NDC 3.0) 2035 y\u0131l\u0131nda sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n 643 milyon ton CO\u2082 e\u015fde\u011feri ile s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefledi\u011fini ilan etmi\u015ftir. Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda da bu hedef do\u011frultusunda referans senaryoya g\u00f6re 466 milyon tonluk azalt\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilece\u011fi belirtilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak Avrupa Komisyonu Ortak Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi (JRC) ve Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA) taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan EDGAR 2026 verilerine dayanan son hesaplamalarda T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n 610,8 milyon ton CO\u2082 e\u015fde\u011ferine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re %4,2 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bu art\u0131\u015f yakla\u015f\u0131k 24,4 milyon tonluk ilave emisyona kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelmektedir. B\u00f6ylece T\u00fcrkiye, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek sera gaz\u0131 emisyonuna sahip \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda 13. s\u0131raya y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00dcstelik bu tablo, T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda Antalya’da Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u00c7er\u00e7eve S\u00f6zle\u015fmesi’nin 31. Taraflar Konferans\u0131’na (COP31) ev sahipli\u011fi yapaca\u011f\u0131 ve \u00c7evre, \u015eehircilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Bakan\u0131n\u0131n COP31 Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctece\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mevcut y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminin devam etti\u011fi varsay\u0131m\u0131yla yap\u0131lacak basit bir projeksiyon dahi, T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2035 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin 643 milyon tonluk hedefiyle mevcut emisyon e\u011filimi aras\u0131nda ciddi bir uyumsuzluk bulundu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir. Nitekim 610,8 milyon tonluk 2025 emisyonunun her y\u0131l yaln\u0131zca 2024-2025 d\u00f6nemindeki yakla\u015f\u0131k 24,4 milyon tonluk mutlak art\u0131\u015f kadar y\u00fckselmesi halinde 2035 y\u0131l\u0131 emisyonu yakla\u015f\u0131k 879 milyon tona ula\u015facakt\u0131r. Art\u0131\u015f\u0131n y\u00fczde 4,2’lik bile\u015fik oranla s\u00fcrmesi halinde ise sonu\u00e7 960 milyon tonun \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu tablo, T\u00fcrkiye’nin ilan etti\u011fi iklim hedefleri ile fiili emisyon e\u011filimi aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca gelece\u011fe ili\u015fkin bir risk de\u011fil, bug\u00fcnden sorgulanmas\u0131 gereken somut bir politika sorunu haline geldi\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. EDGAR 2026 verilerinde T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n 610,8 milyon ton CO\u2082 e\u015fde\u011ferine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re %4,2 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki tespiti Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z kabul etmekte midir? Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n bu veriye ili\u015fkin resmi de\u011ferlendirmesi nedir?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n kendi resmi belgelerinde 2035 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in 643 milyon ton CO\u2082 e\u015fde\u011feri hedeflenirken, mevcut emisyon e\u011filiminin devam etmesi halinde 2035 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu seviyenin y\u00fcz milyonlarca ton \u00fczerinde emisyon ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ihtimali kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u0130kinci Ulusal Katk\u0131 Beyan\u0131’n\u0131n hedeflerine ili\u015fkin herhangi bir revizyon, ek \u00f6nlem veya d\u00fczeltici eylem plan\u0131 haz\u0131rlanmakta m\u0131d\u0131r?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. T\u00fcrkiye’nin sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde artmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen 2035 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in 643 milyon tonluk hedefin h\u00e2l\u00e2 ula\u015f\u0131labilir oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyorsa, bu de\u011ferlendirmeyi hangi g\u00fcncel emisyon projeksiyonlar\u0131, politika tedbirleri ve say\u0131sal azalt\u0131m hesaplar\u0131 desteklemektedir? Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 sonras\u0131nda haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcncel emisyon projeksiyonlar\u0131 nedir?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2035 hedefini olu\u015ftururken kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 referans senaryonun temel varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 g\u00fcncel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enerji t\u00fcketimi, fosil yak\u0131t kullan\u0131m\u0131, elektrik \u00fcretimi, ula\u015ft\u0131rma, sanayi \u00fcretimi ve n\u00fcfus verileri dikkate al\u0131narak yeniden g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmi\u015f midir? 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeleri mevcut referans senaryodan ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda, k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve di\u011fer fosil yak\u0131tlara dayal\u0131 enerji \u00fcretiminin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, fosil yak\u0131tlardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f konusunda 2026-2035 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin y\u0131ll\u0131k ba\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 hedefler bulunmakta m\u0131d\u0131r? Varsa bu hedefler nelerdir?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan veya haz\u0131rlanmakta olan \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Azalt\u0131m Stratejisi ve Eylem Plan\u0131’n\u0131n, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan %4,2’lik emisyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcncel emisyon e\u011filimini dikkate alacak \u015fekilde revize edilmesi planlanmakta m\u0131d\u0131r?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  7. T\u00fcrkiye’nin COP31’e ev sahipli\u011fi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00c7evre, \u015eehircilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Bakan\u0131n\u0131n COP31 Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir d\u00f6nemde, T\u00fcrkiye’nin kendi sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n artmaya devam etmesi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda COP31 Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye’nin emisyon azalt\u0131m performans\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015ftirmek \u00fczere uluslararas\u0131 kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f ilave bir taahh\u00fct veya somut eylem plan\u0131 bulunmakta m\u0131d\u0131r?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  8. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen yakla\u015f\u0131k 610,8 milyon tonluk emisyon ile 2035 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in belirlenen 643 milyon tonluk hedef aras\u0131ndaki yaln\u0131zca yakla\u015f\u0131k 32 milyon tonluk fark dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2035 hedefine ula\u015fabilmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki dokuz y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde emisyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 durdurman\u0131n \u00f6tesinde hangi \u00f6l\u00e7ekte mutlak azalt\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi gerekti\u011fini hesaplam\u0131\u015f m\u0131d\u0131r? Bu hesab\u0131n y\u0131llara g\u00f6re kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedir?<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  9. T\u00fcrkiye’nin a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 iklim hedefleri ile ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye devam etmesi halinde, \u0130kinci Ulusal Katk\u0131 Beyan\u0131’ndaki 2035 hedefinin fiilen ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilememesi riskine kar\u015f\u0131 Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n sorumlulu\u011fu ve uygulayaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fczeltici mekanizma nedir? Hedefin tutturulamamas\u0131 halinde kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131klanacak bir hesap verebilirlik ve d\u00fczeltici eylem mekanizmas\u0131 olu\u015fturulacak m\u0131d\u0131r?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    T\u00dcRK\u0130YE B\u00dcY\u00dcK M\u0130LLET MECL\u0130S\u0130 BA\u015eKANLI\u011eINA A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki sorular\u0131n \u00c7evre, \u015eehircilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Bakan\u0131 Murat KURUMtaraf\u0131ndan Anayasa\u2019n\u0131n 98\u2019inci ve \u0130\u00e7t\u00fcz\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn 96\u2019nc\u0131 ve 99\u2019uncu maddeleri gere\u011fince yaz\u0131l\u0131 […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1743","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-soru-onergeleri"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/SORU-ONERGESI-WEB-SITE-GORSELI-5.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1743","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1743"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1743\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1745,"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1743\/revisions\/1745"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1743"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1743"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibrahimakin.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1743"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}